Artist's impression of a major asteroid impact

The basic DPSIR framework
Aral Sea as an example
VUCA factors:
V: Volatility or Variability
U: Uncertainty
C: Complexity
A: Ambiguity

https://api.van2.auro.io:8080/v1/AUTH_6bda5a38d0d7490e81ba33fbb4be21dd/sophia/blox/assets/data/000/000/271/original/NBS-Long-Term-Thinking-ER.pdf?1495743490
RETURN FROM SHORT- AND LONG-TERM ACTIONS OVER TIME
Adapted from Laverty, K. J. 1996. Economic “short-termism”: The debate, the unresolved issues, and the implications for management practice and research. Academy of Management Review, 21(3): 825–860.
Negative returns, initially
Greater positive returns, over a longer time horizon
Quicker but limited positive returns
Choice of Short vs. Long Term: discount rate, and patience of key players
VUCA factors:
V: Volatility or Variability
U: Uncertainty
C: Complexity
A: Ambiguity

https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s12665-016-5614-5

http://worldofwonder.net/picture-perfect-ships-of-the-desert-rest-in-the-shade-on-ships-on-the-desert/

http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20170926-the-deadly-germ-warfare-island-abandoned-by-the-soviets
Vozrozhdeniya Island

https://turcanin.wordpress.com/2012/05/22/остров-возрождения--the-russian-gift-anthrax-and-bubonic-plague-aplenty/
Vozrozhdeniya Island
In the 1990s, word of the island’s danger was spread by Soviet defectors, including Ken Alibek, the former head of the Soviet Union’s bioweapons program. It was here, according to recently released documents, that anthrax spores and bubonic plague bacilli were made into weapons and stored. The main town on the island was Kantubek, which lies in ruins today, but once had approximately 1,500 inhabitants.

http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/9/4/285
Urban Water Cycle (UWC). Adapted from [Wagner, I.; Breil, P. The role of ecohydrology in creating more resilient cities. Ecohydrol. Hydrobiol. 2013, 13, 113–134.].

Water Footprint of Major Commodities
Source: Water Footprint Product Gallery, Water footprint Network, http://www.waterfootprint.org/?page=files/productgallery
From Feeding Ourselves Thirsty: How the Food Sector is Managing Global Water Risks, A Ceres Report, May 2015
If beef is so water-intensive, should we become more vegetarian?
What is cotton doing to Central Asia?
Should we pay more attention to what is being grown or raised and where?

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022169415009099

Source: Training Manual on Integrated Environmental Assessment and Reporting in Africa

Source: Using Participatory Rapid Appraisal and DPSIR
approaches for participatory modelling: A case study
for groundwater management in South Australia
El Sawah, S., H. A. Guillaume, M. Mitchell
19th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, Australia, 12–16 December 2011

https://wwz.ifremer.fr/dce/content/download/69291/913220/.../DPSIR.pdf

https://wwz.ifremer.fr/dce/content/download/69291/913220/.../DPSIR.pdf