Foreign Policy Analysis: power, capability & instruments

Содержание

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Aims & Learning Objectives

Identify key concepts of power and national interest
Describe the

Aims & Learning Objectives Identify key concepts of power and national interest
impact of the international system in defining the tasks of foreign policy for states
Discuss the utility of different foreign policy instruments in achieving foreign policy goals

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Foreign Policy and Power

In FPA, a state’s power as key determinant of

Foreign Policy and Power In FPA, a state’s power as key determinant
a successful FP
Power is ‘the ability of a state to cause another state to take actions which are to the 1st state’s advantage and which the latter state might not have pursued.’
Two ways to achieve this, through direct action (force/coercion) or indirect action (influence/persuasion)

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Role of power in Foreign Policy

(i) as an end in itself
(ii)

Role of power in Foreign Policy (i) as an end in itself
a means to an end
(iii) a context within which states operate

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Hard power vs Soft power

‘Hard power is the ability to get

Hard power vs Soft power ‘Hard power is the ability to get
others to do what they otherwise would not do through threat of punishment or promise of reward.
Soft power is the ability to get desired outcomes because others want what you want.’
Joseph Nye

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Limits on Power as seen by Superpowers

‘We still have to find the

Limits on Power as seen by Superpowers ‘We still have to find
technique for bringing our great bargaining power to bear on leaders of client states to do things they ought to do but don’t want to.’ Walt Rostow, advisor to JFK 1961
‘In the interests of our common task, we must sometimes overlook their stupidity.’ Soviet official on its allies 1973 (Gaddis 2005)
Limits of exercising influence and fungibility of power

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Formulating Foreign Policy: national interest & balance of power

National Interest
Palmerston: ‘England has

Formulating Foreign Policy: national interest & balance of power National Interest Palmerston:
no permanent friends or permanent enemies, only permanent interests.’
How to determine, short vs long term interests?
Balance of power – states offset accumulation of power by one or more states by joining up with like-minded states
BoP promoter of stability or perpetuating it?

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Values, Goals
& Interests +
Capabilities/
Instruments +
Issue + Target

Target

Values, Goals
&

Values, Goals & Interests + Capabilities/ Instruments + Issue + Target Target
Interests +
Capabilities/
Instruments +
Issue + Target

Values, Goals
& Interests +
Capabilities/
Instruments +
Issue + Target

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Formulating Foreign Policy: national interest & balance of power

For realists, anarchic nature

Formulating Foreign Policy: national interest & balance of power For realists, anarchic
of int’l system determines FP preferences & choices
For critics, NI not self-evident either from system or society sources but an elevation of the concerns of a segment of society to that of a national priority

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National Interest and FP formulation

1.‘National interest consists of state survival (security), wealth

National Interest and FP formulation 1.‘National interest consists of state survival (security),
maximisation, preservation and promotion of values’ (Reynolds)
2. ‘The national interest which is at stake is that of people, not of the state, which is itself an abstraction. Service of the ends and values of the people may require the submergence of the state. The state is not a person.’ (Reynolds)

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Formulating Foreign Policy

Values
Milieu goals: aimed at changing the int’l system
Possessional goals: derived

Formulating Foreign Policy Values Milieu goals: aimed at changing the int’l system
from actor/state’s particular needs
Temporal Factors (short, long, core)
Means/Instruments
Target

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Instruments of Foreign Policy

Traditional instruments in repertoire:
Diplomacy, economic tools, subversion and

Instruments of Foreign Policy Traditional instruments in repertoire: Diplomacy, economic tools, subversion
the military
‘New’ instruments in repertoire:
Promotion of values through gov’t and NGO means

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Diplomacy

Consists of formal and informal discussions aimed at resolving matters of mutual

Diplomacy Consists of formal and informal discussions aimed at resolving matters of
concern
Talks, negotiation or mediation can take place at a bilateral or multilateral level
Codes of practice rooted in 18th & 19th century European experience
Public diplomacy and summitry

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Economic tools

Positive incentives including foreign aid and trade concessions
Punitive measures through the

Economic tools Positive incentives including foreign aid and trade concessions Punitive measures
application of sanctions, either general or targeted, on economic activity of target state
Only effective if sanctions applied collectively by most (if not all) states
Target regime type key determinant of appropriate method and likelihood of success
Importance may be more symbolic

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Subversion

Gathering of intelligence and its analysis with the aim of assessing motives

Subversion Gathering of intelligence and its analysis with the aim of assessing
and policy choices by target state
Promotion of covert operations aimed at destabilising an opponent (white, grey and black propaganda)
Favoured by leaders as it purports to give a tactical advantage to them in dealing with target state

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Military

‘Politics by other means’ -ultimate expression of a state’s willingness to pursue

Military ‘Politics by other means’ -ultimate expression of a state’s willingness to
a particular foreign policy
Employed to defend vital interests (territorial, citizens) or in pursuit of these aims (new territory, access to strategic resources or upholding int’l principle)
Diversity of usage

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Values promotion

Explicitly ‘soft power’ approach whereby domestic actors in target state embrace

Values promotion Explicitly ‘soft power’ approach whereby domestic actors in target state
values of promoter state & becomes basis for FP choice which conforms to promoter’s interests
Gov’t agencies promote societal values through educational exchanges/scholarships to elites aimed at shaping aims & choices
States fund NGOs (human rights, trade union, electoral) as do private foundations
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