Session 2_Annuities, Perpetuities and Other Special Cases

Содержание

Слайд 2

The formulas we have developed so far allow us to compute the

The formulas we have developed so far allow us to compute the
present or future value of any cash flow stream.
There are cash flows that follow a regular pattern ? We can use shortcuts to value them.
In what follow, we consider two types of assets: annuities and perpetuities.

Слайд 3

1. Annuities

An annuity is a constant cash flow that occurs at regular

1. Annuities An annuity is a constant cash flow that occurs at
intervals for a fixed period of time.
Defining C to be the cash flow,

0

1

2

3

N

C

C

C

C

…..

Слайд 4

1.1. Present Value of an Annuity

The present value of an annuity can

1.1. Present Value of an Annuity The present value of an annuity
be calculated by taking each cash flow and discounting it back to the present, and adding up the present values.
Alternatively, there is a shortcut that can be used in the calculation:

C is the cash flow.

(1)

Слайд 5

Exercise 1

What is the present value of an annuity of $1,000 for

Exercise 1 What is the present value of an annuity of $1,000
the next five years, assuming a discount rate of 10%?

Solution

The present value of an annuity of $1,000 for the next five years, assuming a discount rate of 10% is:

Слайд 6

When the present value is known and the annuity is to be

When the present value is known and the annuity is to be
estimated, then:

1.2. Annuity, Given the Present Value

(2)

Слайд 7

1. The future value of an end-of-the-period annuity can also be calculated

1. The future value of an end-of-the-period annuity can also be calculated
as follows:

1.3. Future Value of an Annuity

(3)

Слайд 8

Exercise 2

What is the future value of $1,000 each year for the

Exercise 2 What is the future value of $1,000 each year for
next five years, at the end of the fifth year (assuming a 10% discount rate)?

Solution

The future value of $1,000 each year for the next five years, at the end of the fifth year (assuming a 10% discount rate) is

Слайд 9

If we know the future value and we are looking for the

If we know the future value and we are looking for the
annuity:

1.4. Annuity, given Future Value

(4)

Слайд 10

Exercise 3: Saving for College Tuition

1. Assume that you want to send

Exercise 3: Saving for College Tuition 1. Assume that you want to
your newborn child to a private college (when he gets to be 18 years old). The tuition costs are $ 16000/year now and that these costs are expected to rise 5% a year for the next 18 years. Assume that you can invest, after taxes, at 8%.
a. Calculate the expected tuition cost/year 18 years from now.
b. Calculate the PV of four years of tuition costs at $38,506/year at the end of the 18th year (We assume that the tuition costs stop rising by 5% beyond the end of the 18th year).
2. If you need to set aside a lump sum now, what is the amount you would need to set aside?
3. If you need to set aside an annuity each year, starting one year from now, what is the amount of the annuity?

Слайд 11

Solution for Exercise 3: Saving for College Tuition

a. Expected tuition cost/year 18

Solution for Exercise 3: Saving for College Tuition a. Expected tuition cost/year
years from now = 16000*(1.05)18 = $38,506
b. PV of four years of tuition costs at $38,506/year: We use formula (IV.1):
2. If you need to set aside a lump sum now, the amount you would need to set aside
would be:
3. We use formula (IV.3):

Слайд 12

Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth?

Assume that you were earning

Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth? Assume that you were
$40,000/year before entering MBA program and that tuition costs are $16000/year. If you decide to enter the MBA program, you will resign from working and focus on studying. Expected salary is $ 54,000/year after graduation. You can invest money at 8%.
For simplicity, assume that the first payment of $16,000 has to be made at the start of the program and the second payment one year later.
What is the present value of the cost of MBA?
2. Assume that you will work 30 years after graduation, and that the salary differential ($14000 = $54000-$40000) will continue through this period.
What is the present value of the Benefits Before Taxes of entering the program?
What is the present value of getting an MBA (benefits – costs)?

Слайд 13

Solution for Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth?

1.
The MBA

Solution for Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth? 1. The
program is over 2 years starting from now. Today, I pay $16,000 and I pay the same amount at the beginning of the next year. If I accept the MBA, I will not work, which means that I will not obtain my salary, which means a cost of $40,000 per year (See timeline above).
PV Of Cost Of MBA = $16,000 + (16,000 + 40,000)/1.08 + 40,000/1.08² = $102,145
Other solution: I can consider an annuity of $40,000 per year over two years:
?

0

1

2

$16,000

$16,000
+
$40,000

$40,000

Слайд 14

Solution for Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth?

2.
This has

Solution for Exercise 4: How much is an MBA worth? 2. This
to be discounted back two years: $157,609/1.082 = $135,124
? The present value of getting an MBA = $135,124 - $102,145 = $32,979

………….

0

2

1

1

2

30

$14,000

MBA

$14,000

$14,000

PV of the benefits of MBA at the end of MBA program = $157,609

PV of the benefits of MBA today
= $135,124

Слайд 15

Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond

1. You are trying to value a

Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond 1. You are trying to value
straight bond with a fifteen year maturity, a 10.75% coupon rate and a face value of $ 1,000. The current interest rate on bonds of this risk level is 8.5%.
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,8.5%,15 years) + 1000/1.08515 = $ 1186.85
2. If interest rates rise to 10%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,10%,15 years)+ 1000/1.1015 = $1,057.05
Percentage change in price = -10.94%
3. If interest rates fall to 7%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,7%,15 years)+ 1000/1.0715 = $1,341.55
Percentage change in price = +13.03%

Слайд 16

Solution for Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond

1. You are trying to

Solution for Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond 1. You are trying
value a straight bond with a fifteen year maturity, a 10.75% coupon rate and a face value of $ 1,000. The current interest rate on bonds of this risk level is 8.5%.
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity) + 1000/1.08515 = $ 1186.85
2. If interest rates rise to 10%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,10%,15 years)+ 1000/1.1015 = $1,057.05
Percentage change in price = -10.94%
3. If interest rates fall to 7%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,7%,15 years)+ 1000/1.0715 = $1,341.55
Percentage change in price = +13.03%

Слайд 17

1. You are trying to value a straight bond with a fifteen

1. You are trying to value a straight bond with a fifteen
year maturity, a 10.75% coupon rate and a face value of $ 1,000. The current interest rate on bonds of this risk level is 8.5%.
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity) + 1000/1.08515 = $ 1186.85
2. If interest rates rise to 10%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity)+ 1000/1.1015 = $1,057.05
Percentage change in price = -10.94%
3. If interest rates fall to 7%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(A,7%,15 years)+ 1000/1.0715 = $1,341.55
Percentage change in price = +13.03%

Solution for Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond

Слайд 18

1. You are trying to value a straight bond with a fifteen

1. You are trying to value a straight bond with a fifteen
year maturity, a 10.75% coupon rate and a face value of $ 1,000. The current interest rate on bonds of this risk level is 8.5%.
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity) + 1000/1.08515 = $ 1186.85
2. If interest rates rise to 10%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity)+ 1000/1.1015 = $1,057.05
Percentage change in price = -10.94%
3. If interest rates fall to 7%,
PV of cash flows on bond = 107.50* PV(Annuity)+ 1000/1.0715 = $1,341.55
Percentage change in price = +13.03%

Solution for Exercise 5: Valuing a Straight Bond

Слайд 19

A growing annuity is a cash flow growing at a constant rate

A growing annuity is a cash flow growing at a constant rate
for a specified period of time.
If C is the cash flow at the end of period 1, and g is the expected growth rate, the time line for a growing annuity looks as follows:

1.5. Growing Annuity

……………………………

0

2

1

3

N

C

C (1+g)

C (1+g)²

C (1+g)N-1

Слайд 20

The present value of a growing annuity can be estimated in all

The present value of a growing annuity can be estimated in all
cases, but one - where the growth rate is equal to the discount rate, using the following model:

1.6. Present Value of a Growing Annuity

(5)

Слайд 21

Exercise 6: The Value of a Gold Mine

Consider the example of a

Exercise 6: The Value of a Gold Mine Consider the example of
gold mine, where you have the rights to the mine for the next 20 years, over which period you plan to extract 5,000 ounces of gold every year.
The price per ounce is $300 currently, but it is expected to increase 3% a year. The appropriate discount rate is 10%.

The present value of the gold that will be extracted from this mine can be estimated as follows (using formula IV.5):

Solution for Exercise 6: The Value of a Gold Mine

5000 onces per year, the price per ounce is $300 ? $1,500,000

Слайд 22

A perpetuity is a constant cash flow at regular intervals forever.

2.

A perpetuity is a constant cash flow at regular intervals forever. 2.
Perpetuities

……………………………

0

2

1

3


C

C

C

2.1. Present Value of a Perpetuity

(6)

Слайд 23

Exercise 7: Valuing a Console Bond

A console bond is a bond that

Exercise 7: Valuing a Console Bond A console bond is a bond
has no maturity and pays a fixed coupon.
Assume that you have a 6% coupon console bond (face value = $ 1,000).
Compute the value of this bond if the interest rate is 9%,

Слайд 24

A growing perpetuity is a cash flow that is expected to grow

A growing perpetuity is a cash flow that is expected to grow
at a constant rate forever.
The present value of a growing perpetuity is:

2.2. Growing Perpetuities

(7)

……………………………

0

2

1

3


C

C (1+g)

C (1+g)²

Имя файла: Session-2_Annuities,-Perpetuities-and-Other-Special-Cases.pptx
Количество просмотров: 23
Количество скачиваний: 0