W5.1 Evaluation

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Evaluation

Why?
What?
How?
Measures
Training and test data
Significance

Evaluation Why? What? How? Measures Training and test data Significance

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Confusion matrix

Confusion matrix

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Two classes

Two classes: T/F, Positive/Negative

Two classes Two classes: T/F, Positive/Negative

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Two classes

Two classes: T/F, Positive/Negative

Two classes Two classes: T/F, Positive/Negative

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Two class measures

True positive / false positive / true negative / false

Two class measures True positive / false positive / true negative /
negative
Accuracy (TP+TN) /(P+N)
Error rate (FP+FN) / (P+N)
Sensitivity TP / P
Specificity TN / N
Precision TP / (TP + FP)
Recall TP / P
F-score (2 * precision * recall)/(precision + recall)

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Multi-class measures?

True positive / false positive / true negative / false negative
Accuracy (TP+TN)

Multi-class measures? True positive / false positive / true negative / false
/(P+N)
Error rate (FP+FN) / (P+N)
Sensitivity TP / P
Specificity TN / N
Precision TP / (TP + FP)
Recall TP / P
F-score (2 * precision * recall)/(precision + recall)

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Evaluation

Why?
What?
How?
Measures
Training and test data
Significance

Evaluation Why? What? How? Measures Training and test data Significance

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Training en test data 1: same data for training en testing

Bad idea

Training en test data 1: same data for training en testing Bad idea => why?
=> why?

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Training en test data 2: holdout / percentage split

Complete data set

Randomly

Training en test data 2: holdout / percentage split Complete data set
select x% as test data

Risk?
Atypical test set

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Training en test data 3: k-fold cross-validation

Complete data set

Fold 1:

Fold 2:

Training en test data 3: k-fold cross-validation Complete data set Fold 1:

Fold 3:

Fold 4:

Fold 5:

Average results over folds

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More cross-validation

Leave-one-out
Stratified cross-validation

More cross-validation Leave-one-out Stratified cross-validation

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Evaluation

Why?
What?
How?
Measures
Training and test data
Significance

Evaluation Why? What? How? Measures Training and test data Significance

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Method M1 significantly better than M2?

10-fold cross-validation => n=10
Paired t-test
H0: performance M1

Method M1 significantly better than M2? 10-fold cross-validation => n=10 Paired t-test
same as M2
H1: performance M1 differs from M2

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Other aspects of performance
Efficiency
Scalability
Robustness
Interpretability

Other aspects of performance Efficiency Scalability Robustness Interpretability
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