Tasks Forcasting methods. The rule of min costs

Extrapolation
It is known that in 2006 your company's servers were exposed to 350 DDoS attacks, in 2007 – 347, in 2008 – 354, in 2009 – 363, in 2010 – 364, in 2011 – 360, in 2012- 369, in 2013 – 389. As a specialist in information security, using the method of extrapolation on the current average annual growth rate in the number of attacks, make a forcast about the number of DDoS attacks on the servers of your company in 2014.

the number of failures in 1 hour
The number of failures of the software when working over the last 100 hours
Simulation modeling
Using a random number, selected using random number generators, it is necessary to simulate the occurrence of failures of the software within 8 hours

Iinear interpolation
Experts of Department of the threats analysis examined 4 companies and got the following results on the dependence between the number of leakage channels and the damage
Using linear interpolation, find the value of any damages, if the company has 5 channels of leakage.
The number of leakage channels
Damage $

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING
The number of confidential information leakage from the public authorities of the region for the last 5 months
For the 1st month a forecast of 14 leaks was given (by information security professionals). Using a simple exponential smoothing model, give the forecast on the number of leaks on the 6th month, if the smoothing constant α = 0.65
Month
Number of conf. inf. leakage

EVALUATION OF THE FORECAST RELIABILITY
You must provide the CEO report on the reliability of forecasts in the 1 part of the 2014,
provided that
the information security specialists predicted the emergence of 47 new types of malicious programs,
and as a result, the monitoring system discovered 62 new species of malicious program,
41 of them coincided with the experts forecasts.

Calculate the average and marginal product of the company, using the following data:
When the decreasing savings from scale occurred?
PRODUCTION